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2024-11-05

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Oklahoma City Thunder Spread Result
Elo 23.8% 76.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 17.5% 82.5% - ✓
Margin 8.5% 91.5% +13.1 ✓ (2.9 off)
Pythagorean 36.2% 63.8% - ✓
Efficiency 11.3% 88.7% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 12.4% 87.6% - ✓
Log Adjusted 12.4% 87.6% - ✓
Points Off/Def 19.6% 80.4% - ✓

Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +16 (102-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Suggs * 34 6-13 1-4 6-6 6 6 0 1 19 - -
Franz Wagner * 34 8-17 1-4 5-6 4 2 2 0 22 - -
Tristan da Silva * 33 4-12 1-4 0-0 3 2 0 0 9 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 30 1-7 1-4 3-3 5 2 4 1 6 - -
Goga Bitadze * 26 5-8 0-1 1-2 9 4 1 1 11 - -
Moritz Wagner 21 2-5 0-2 5-6 7 1 2 1 9 - -
Anthony Black 20 1-8 0-5 1-2 3 2 2 0 3 - -
Jett Howard 11 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 - -
Jonathan Isaac 10 1-3 0-2 2-2 1 0 0 0 4 - -
Caleb Houstan 9 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Cory Joseph 3 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Cole Anthony 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 - -

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * 35 8-16 1-3 4-4 6 9 1 0 21 - -
Jalen Williams * 34 10-17 3-7 0-0 4 1 3 1 23 - -
Luguentz Dort * 27 2-6 2-4 0-0 3 1 2 0 6 - -
Cason Wallace * 26 2-6 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 1 4 - -
Chet Holmgren * 21 5-10 1-2 3-5 9 1 0 2 14 - -
Isaiah Joe 22 4-8 3-6 2-3 4 1 0 0 13 - -
Alex Caruso 20 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 5 1 0 3 - -
Aaron Wiggins 17 4-9 1-3 2-2 5 1 3 0 11 - -
Ajay Mitchell 12 2-4 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 4 - -
Dillon Jones 9 1-3 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Ousmane Dieng 8 0-3 0-1 0-0 4 2 2 0 0 - -
Malevy Leons 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter