Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 29.0% | 71.0% | +4.9 | ✗ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -1 (110-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keegan Murray * | 38 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 37 | 11-21 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 18 | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 37 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 16 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 27 | - | |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 35 | 10-18 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 19 | - | |
| Keon Ellis * | 28 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - | |
| Malik Monk | 24 | 6-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 16 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - | |
| Alex Len | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler * | 35 | 9-19 | 1-2 | 8-11 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 27 | 18 | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 35 | 7-15 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 21 | - | |
| Tyler Herro * | 33 | 9-18 | 5-11 | 4-5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 19 | - | |
| Terry Rozier * | 30 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - | |
| Nikola Jović * | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - | |
| Pelle Larsson | 25 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - | |
| Josh Richardson | 21 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | |
| Duncan Robinson | 13 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - | |
| Alec Burks | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | |
| Thomas Bryant | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter