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2024-11-05

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 63.1% 36.9% -
Bradley-Terry 66.6% 33.4% -
Margin 80.4% 19.6% -7.7 (22.3 off)
Pythagorean 58.1% 41.9% -
Efficiency 80.5% 19.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 77.3% 22.7% -
Log Adjusted 77.3% 22.7% -
Points Off/Def 65.9% 34.1% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks -30 (93-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 30 10-21 6-14 2-3 6 9 2 0 28 - -
Derrick White * 29 8-16 4-9 1-2 6 6 2 1 21 - -
Neemias Queta * 23 4-7 0-0 2-2 7 0 1 1 10 - -
Jrue Holiday * 23 7-11 2-6 0-0 3 2 0 1 16 - -
Al Horford * 22 3-4 1-2 2-2 5 3 2 2 9 - -
Payton Pritchard 25 7-12 3-8 1-1 3 4 1 0 18 - -
Jordan Walsh 19 1-3 0-2 0-1 4 0 2 1 2 - -
Sam Hauser 19 4-11 2-8 0-0 2 1 1 0 10 - -
Luke Kornet 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 1 2 - -
Xavier Tillman 9 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 - -
Jaden Springer 8 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 2 0 2 - -
Baylor Scheierman 8 0-3 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -
JD Davison 5 1-3 0-1 1-2 0 0 1 0 3 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zaccharie Risacher * 30 6-15 1-6 2-2 3 2 0 0 15 - -
Jalen Johnson * 30 7-20 2-7 4-5 11 4 1 0 20 - -
Dyson Daniels * 23 4-9 0-1 0-0 2 3 1 0 8 - -
Trae Young * 23 1-10 0-6 0-0 0 6 1 0 2 - -
Clint Capela * 16 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 - -
David Roddy 29 4-7 1-3 2-2 6 3 0 0 11 - -
Garrison Mathews 26 4-5 2-3 0-1 0 2 0 1 10 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 22 8-12 0-3 2-2 10 0 2 0 18 - -
Keaton Wallace 20 2-5 0-1 2-2 4 2 4 2 6 - -
Dominick Barlow 8 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 - -
Mouhamed Gueye 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter