Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | β |
| Margin | 47.8% | 52.2% | +0.5 | β (22.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | β |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +23 (108-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tristan da Silva * | 31 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jalen Suggs * | 28 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 26 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Franz Wagner * | 25 | 6-15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Wendell Carter Jr. * | 8 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jett Howard | 22 | 4-12 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Moritz Wagner | 20 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Anthony Black | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Isaac | 15 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Gary Harris | 14 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Cole Anthony | 14 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Caleb Houstan | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Cory Joseph | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka DonΔiΔ * | 31 | 11-22 | 5-13 | 5-7 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 28 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 28 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Kyrie Irving * | 28 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford * | 20 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall | 21 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Dereck Lively II | 20 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Quentin Grimes | 17 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | - | |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Brandon Williams | 5 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter