Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Jazz | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.9% | 92.1% | +13.5 | ✓ (12.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +26 (129-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keyonte George * | 32 | 6-14 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Walker Kessler * | 29 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 8-12 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18 | - | - | |
| Collin Sexton * | 25 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Cody Williams * | 19 | 2-11 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Kyle Filipowski * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Johnny Juzang | 26 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| John Collins | 21 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 19 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - | - | |
| Brice Sensabaugh | 16 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Patty Mills | 15 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Svi Mykhailiuk | 15 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Braun * | 32 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook * | 31 | 2-11 | 1-4 | 0-4 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokić * | 29 | 10-18 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 16 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 29 | 7-12 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 26 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Hunter Tyson | 25 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 19 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 18 | 7-11 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 14 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Trey Alexander | 4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Spencer Jones | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jalen Pickett | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter