Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.2% | 60.8% | +2.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +3 (131-128). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Aaron Fox * | 43 | 8-22 | 0-11 | 8-10 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 24 | 14 | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 42 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 38 | - | |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 42 | 12-27 | 2-7 | 7-7 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 33 | 16 | - | |
| Keegan Murray * | 38 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 18 | - | |
| Doug McDermott * | 14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - | |
| Malik Monk | 38 | 9-16 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 15 | - | |
| Keon Ellis | 26 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 12 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - | |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Barrett * | 39 | 10-26 | 3-9 | 8-11 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 21 | - | |
| Gradey Dick * | 37 | 6-17 | 3-8 | 7-7 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 14 | - | |
| Davion Mitchell * | 37 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 14 | - | |
| Ochai Agbaji * | 35 | 9-12 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 20 | - | |
| Jakob Pöltl * | 33 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 19 | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 24 | 9-13 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 17 | - | |
| Jonathan Mogbo | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - | |
| Jamison Battle | 15 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - | |
| Jamal Shead | 14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | |
| Ja'Kobe Walter | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter