Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.5% | 23.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 89.3% | 10.7% | -11.7 | ✓ (11.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 85.5% | 14.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.7% | 16.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.7% | 16.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 73.6% | 26.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -23 (114-137). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 28 | 12-18 | 1-6 | 5-6 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Jalen Williams * | 26 | 8-12 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe * | 26 | 4-9 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 25 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Chet Holmgren * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - | - | |
| Cason Wallace | 22 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 22 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Ousmane Dieng | 19 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Alex Caruso | 17 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Ajay Mitchell | 17 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Dillon Jones | 11 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Malevy Leons | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerami Grant * | 28 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Deandre Ayton * | 28 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Anfernee Simons * | 28 | 1-8 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Toumani Camara * | 24 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Deni Avdija * | 23 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Scoot Henderson | 24 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kris Murray | 22 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Rayan Rupert | 22 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Donovan Clingan | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jabari Walker | 10 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Dalano Banton | 9 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Duop Reath | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter