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2024-11-02

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 41.5% 58.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 70.9% 29.1% - ✗
Margin 74.3% 25.7% -5.9 ✗ (12.9 off)
Pythagorean 63.7% 36.3% - ✗
Efficiency 81.5% 18.5% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 79.8% 20.2% - ✗
Log Adjusted 79.9% 20.1% - ✗
Points Off/Def 69.2% 30.8% - ✗

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +7 (125-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyrese Haliburton * 33 2-8 1-6 6-6 2 11 0 0 11 - -
Bennedict Mathurin * 32 7-15 1-2 4-5 6 3 0 0 19 - -
Pascal Siakam * 31 7-13 2-5 0-0 5 6 1 1 16 - -
Myles Turner * 29 5-12 2-5 0-0 4 2 0 1 12 - -
Aaron Nesmith * 10 5-5 2-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 12 - -
Ben Sheppard 32 7-12 6-11 0-0 3 1 0 0 20 - -
T.J. McConnell 21 5-9 0-1 0-0 3 9 1 0 10 - -
Obi Toppin 18 3-6 1-3 0-0 5 0 0 0 7 - -
Isaiah Jackson 15 3-3 0-0 0-2 8 1 0 1 6 - -
Jarace Walker 13 2-6 1-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 5 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zion Williamson * 36 14-20 1-2 5-8 6 10 2 0 34 - -
Jordan Hawkins * 36 7-17 2-8 7-8 4 1 0 0 23 - -
Brandon Ingram * 35 10-25 3-8 3-3 6 7 1 2 26 - -
Jose Alvarado * 32 5-12 2-5 0-0 6 7 2 0 12 - -
Yves Missi * 26 2-5 0-0 0-0 10 0 0 1 4 - -
Brandon Boston Jr. 22 6-9 2-4 0-0 2 2 2 0 14 - -
Javonte Green 18 3-4 1-1 0-0 4 0 1 1 7 - -
Daniel Theis 13 1-3 1-1 0-0 5 1 0 0 3 - -
Jamal Cain 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl 8 1-4 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter