Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.3% | 49.7% | -0.1 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -6 (125-131). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 36 | 9-17 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Anthony Davis * | 35 | 14-20 | 0-0 | 10-11 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 38 | - | - | |
| Austin Reaves * | 34 | 4-13 | 0-6 | 12-14 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Rui Hachimura * | 33 | 3-12 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| D'Angelo Russell * | 32 | 7-13 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 20 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Dalton Knecht | 19 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jaxson Hayes | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Max Christie | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Bronny James | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakob Pöltl * | 35 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 19 | - | - | |
| Ochai Agbaji * | 33 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| RJ Barrett * | 31 | 14-22 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 33 | - | - | |
| Gradey Dick * | 31 | 13-26 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Davion Mitchell * | 30 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Ja'Kobe Walter | 21 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Mogbo | 20 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jamal Shead | 14 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 13 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| D.J. Carton | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter