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2024-11-01

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 27.1% 72.9% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 38.9% 61.1% - ✗
Margin 36.5% 63.5% +3.1 ✗ (11.1 off)
Pythagorean 49.2% 50.8% - ✗
Efficiency 51.3% 48.7% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 53.6% 46.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 53.7% 46.3% - ✓
Points Off/Def 47.5% 52.5% - ✗

Actual: Atlanta Hawks -8 (115-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 38 9-16 1-1 8-10 8 2 3 1 27 - -
Keegan Murray * 38 6-12 1-6 1-1 10 3 0 1 14 - -
De'Aaron Fox * 37 11-16 4-6 5-6 7 3 4 0 31 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 33 5-11 0-0 5-5 14 6 0 0 15 - -
Kevin Huerter * 24 4-13 2-8 0-0 2 4 1 0 10 - -
Malik Monk 28 3-9 0-3 3-4 4 6 0 0 9 - -
Keon Ellis 19 4-5 2-3 2-2 1 2 0 1 12 - -
Trey Lyles 19 1-7 1-6 2-2 5 2 1 1 5 - -
Colby Jones 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Young * 42 8-21 3-9 6-7 5 12 0 0 25 - -
Jalen Johnson * 36 4-10 2-6 4-6 5 9 2 0 14 - -
Clint Capela * 28 7-9 0-0 1-1 10 1 0 0 15 - -
Zaccharie Risacher * 19 1-9 1-6 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Larry Nance Jr. * 7 1-4 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -
Garrison Mathews 29 8-15 7-13 0-0 1 2 2 1 23 - -
Keaton Wallace 29 5-9 4-8 0-0 3 3 1 1 14 - -
David Roddy 27 3-10 2-6 0-0 8 2 2 1 8 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 19 4-5 0-1 3-4 4 1 1 1 11 - -

* = starter