Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | β |
| Margin | 68.8% | 31.2% | -4.4 | β (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | β |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -6 (102-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Brooks * | 40 | 6-15 | 2-9 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 9 | - | |
| Fred VanVleet * | 39 | 2-13 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 36 | 9-21 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 20 | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 34 | 5-16 | 0-1 | 7-9 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 18 | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 29 | 5-10 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - | |
| Tari Eason | 18 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - | |
| Amen Thompson | 17 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - | |
| Steven Adams | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | |
| Cam Whitmore | 7 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - | |
| Reed Sheppard | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving * | 42 | 10-20 | 5-6 | 3-3 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 23 | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 37 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 16 | - | |
| Luka DonΔiΔ * | 37 | 12-25 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 12 | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 30 | 5-13 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 2 | - | |
| Daniel Gafford * | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - | |
| Naji Marshall | 21 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - | |
| Dereck Lively II | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie | 12 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - | |
| Quentin Grimes | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
* = starter