Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.5% | 91.5% | +13.1 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 7.7% | 92.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.8% | 90.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.8% | 90.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 16.9% | 83.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +12 (105-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Sochan * | 31 | 7-16 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 29 | 7-12 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 27 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 26 | 5-9 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie * | 20 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 29 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Stephon Castle | 20 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham | 19 | 6-11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins | 12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 12 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Sidy Cissoko | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cason Wallace * | 29 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Chet Holmgren * | 27 | 7-10 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 19 | - | - | |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 27 | 7-20 | 2-10 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jalen Williams * | 26 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 25 | 7-9 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | - | - | |
| Ajay Mitchell | 21 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Alex Caruso | 21 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Ousmane Dieng | 18 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 18 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 17 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Dillon Jones | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Adam Flagler | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Alex Ducas | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter