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New York Knicks 116
@
Miami Heat 107
2024-10-30

Model Predictions

Model New York Knicks Miami Heat Spread Result
Elo 41.3% 58.7% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 57.3% 42.7% - ✓
Margin 54.8% 45.2% -1.1 ✓ (7.9 off)
Pythagorean 51.4% 48.6% - ✓
Efficiency 61.2% 38.8% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 60.5% 39.5% - ✓
Log Adjusted 60.5% 39.5% - ✓
Points Off/Def 52.3% 47.7% - ✓

Actual: Miami Heat -9 (107-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Josh Hart * 42 4-7 2-5 0-0 14 6 1 0 10 - -
Mikal Bridges * 39 6-16 4-11 1-2 3 6 2 2 17 - -
Karl-Anthony Towns * 38 17-25 4-5 6-6 13 2 0 0 44 - -
OG Anunoby * 36 3-6 3-6 2-2 3 0 2 0 11 - -
Jalen Brunson * 36 6-18 3-7 7-8 2 9 0 0 22 - -
Miles McBride 25 3-8 2-5 2-2 3 2 2 1 10 - -
Cameron Payne 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 5 1 1 0 - -
Jericho Sims 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -

Miami Heat

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jimmy Butler * 37 6-9 0-2 3-4 4 4 2 0 15 - -
Tyler Herro * 35 12-20 8-13 2-2 5 7 1 0 34 - -
Terry Rozier * 34 5-14 4-8 2-2 4 7 2 0 16 - -
Bam Adebayo * 32 3-7 0-2 5-6 3 4 1 0 11 - -
Nikola Jović * 27 4-7 2-4 0-2 6 1 0 0 10 - -
Jaime Jaquez Jr. 27 2-10 0-2 4-8 8 4 0 0 8 - -
Dru Smith 16 1-4 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 3 2 - -
Thomas Bryant 15 2-3 2-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 6 - -
Duncan Robinson 13 2-7 1-5 0-0 2 0 0 0 5 - -

* = starter