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2024-10-30

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 67.5% 32.5% -
Bradley-Terry 66.5% 33.5% -
Margin 80.2% 19.8% -7.7 (20.7 off)
Pythagorean 64.4% 35.6% -
Efficiency 79.4% 20.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 76.7% 23.3% -
Log Adjusted 76.7% 23.3% -
Points Off/Def 66.0% 34.0% -

Actual: Washington Wizards +13 (133-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Johnson * 40 9-21 1-5 2-5 17 4 3 0 21 - -
Trae Young * 40 12-28 4-13 7-7 4 15 2 0 35 - -
Zaccharie Risacher * 34 7-15 2-7 1-1 6 2 1 2 17 - -
David Roddy * 31 5-10 1-4 6-6 4 1 2 0 17 - -
Clint Capela * 23 5-7 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 0 12 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 24 1-5 0-4 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 - -
Garrison Mathews 23 2-5 2-4 0-0 1 2 2 0 6 - -
Keaton Wallace 14 3-3 2-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 8 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bilal Coulibaly * 34 11-14 3-5 2-2 9 1 3 1 27 - -
Jordan Poole * 32 6-17 4-9 8-8 3 9 3 0 24 - -
Carlton Carrington * 32 5-8 1-2 5-5 6 6 0 0 16 - -
Kyshawn George * 31 5-10 1-5 0-0 2 4 3 0 11 - -
Alexandre Sarr * 23 3-9 2-5 3-4 5 2 1 4 11 - -
Corey Kispert 36 6-14 4-11 0-0 1 2 0 0 16 - -
Jonas Valančiūnas 24 8-10 1-1 5-6 8 6 0 0 22 - -
Jared Butler 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 - -
Marvin Bagley III 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Johnny Davis 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Patrick Baldwin Jr. 2 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Anthony Gill 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter