Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 76.1% | 23.9% | -6.4 | ✗ (9.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 71.3% | 28.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +3 (135-132). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Brown * | 43 | 11-30 | 1-11 | 2-4 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 25 | - | - | |
| Jayson Tatum * | 43 | 10-25 | 5-18 | 12-15 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 37 | - | - | |
| Derrick White * | 37 | 8-9 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Jrue Holiday * | 24 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Al Horford * | 19 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Payton Pritchard | 38 | 5-14 | 4-11 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Luke Kornet | 15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Sam Hauser | 13 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Neemias Queta | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jordan Walsh | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Xavier Tillman | 7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 39 | 7-19 | 2-10 | 1-1 | 6 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 37 | 11-20 | 6-8 | 1-4 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 30 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Jackson * | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin | 42 | 9-17 | 2-5 | 10-11 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Obi Toppin | 33 | 6-15 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 21 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Ben Sheppard | 20 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jarace Walker | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter