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2024-10-30

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 22.7% 77.3% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 31.7% 68.3% - ✓
Margin 17.8% 82.2% +8.4 ✓ (15.6 off)
Pythagorean 38.0% 62.0% - ✓
Efficiency 17.6% 82.4% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 22.1% 77.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 21.9% 78.1% - ✓
Points Off/Def 26.4% 73.6% - ✓

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +24 (134-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Davis * 31 9-17 0-1 4-8 13 2 2 0 22 - -
Rui Hachimura * 28 4-6 0-1 0-0 5 2 1 0 8 - -
LeBron James * 28 9-13 1-3 7-7 6 3 0 0 26 - -
Austin Reaves * 27 2-6 1-4 2-2 2 3 0 0 7 - -
D'Angelo Russell * 24 2-7 0-3 6-6 3 5 0 0 10 - -
Max Christie 27 1-6 1-5 3-4 1 1 1 0 6 - -
Dalton Knecht 22 6-12 2-7 4-4 3 1 0 0 18 - -
Jaxson Hayes 19 2-2 0-0 2-2 3 2 1 0 6 - -
Gabe Vincent 16 2-5 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 5 - -
Cam Reddish 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Bronny James 5 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 2 1 0 2 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jarrett Allen * 30 9-12 0-0 2-2 17 1 0 2 20 - -
Donovan Mitchell * 30 10-20 4-10 0-0 3 7 3 0 24 - -
Dean Wade * 26 3-7 2-6 0-2 3 2 3 0 8 - -
Darius Garland * 22 5-14 2-7 0-0 0 10 2 0 12 - -
Evan Mobley * 18 12-16 0-0 1-1 5 0 0 0 25 - -
Sam Merrill 21 1-4 1-4 0-0 0 3 2 0 3 - -
Caris LeVert 21 6-8 4-6 0-0 0 6 1 0 16 - -
Georges Niang 21 2-4 1-3 0-0 2 2 1 0 5 - -
Isaac Okoro 19 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 3 - -
Ty Jerome 16 5-7 2-3 2-2 2 4 1 0 14 - -
Tristan Thompson 5 2-2 0-0 0-1 3 1 0 0 4 - -
Jaylon Tyson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter