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2024-10-30

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 61.5% 38.5% -
Bradley-Terry 60.4% 39.6% -
Margin 55.8% 44.2% -1.3 (6.3 off)
Pythagorean 55.4% 44.6% -
Efficiency 63.4% 36.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 62.0% 38.0% -
Log Adjusted 62.0% 38.0% -
Points Off/Def 53.0% 47.0% -

Actual: Charlotte Hornets +5 (138-133). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jakob Pöltl * 35 10-14 0-0 0-0 16 2 2 0 20 - -
Gradey Dick * 35 11-17 2-6 6-8 2 1 3 0 30 - -
RJ Barrett * 33 10-18 4-6 7-12 4 8 2 0 31 - -
Davion Mitchell * 28 5-11 0-5 1-2 2 11 0 0 11 - -
Jonathan Mogbo * 25 5-7 0-0 1-2 4 2 1 2 11 - -
Ochai Agbaji 28 3-6 1-3 3-3 3 3 0 2 10 - -
Jamal Shead 19 2-6 1-2 2-3 2 9 1 0 7 - -
Chris Boucher 16 6-10 1-4 0-0 4 1 0 1 13 - -
Jamison Battle 14 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -
Bruno Fernando 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nick Richards * 33 10-14 0-0 4-7 14 4 1 4 24 - -
LaMelo Ball * 32 7-20 4-12 1-1 3 6 2 0 19 - -
Seth Curry * 26 2-4 1-2 2-2 2 1 0 0 7 - -
Miles Bridges * 23 2-11 1-7 2-2 3 2 0 1 7 - -
Josh Green * 22 3-6 3-4 0-0 2 3 0 2 9 - -
Tre Mann 28 10-19 4-8 3-3 1 4 2 1 27 - -
Cody Martin 24 9-11 4-6 3-4 4 2 1 0 25 - -
Grant Williams 22 5-6 3-4 4-4 2 5 2 0 17 - -
Tidjane Salaün 16 1-3 0-2 1-2 3 3 1 0 3 - -
Moussa Diabaté 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter