Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | β |
| Margin | 19.8% | 80.2% | +7.7 | β (13.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | β |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -6 (114-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka DonΔiΔ * | 40 | 10-27 | 1-8 | 3-4 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Kyrie Irving * | 39 | 13-23 | 6-8 | 3-5 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 35 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 32 | 7-13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 29 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford * | 20 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Dereck Lively II | 26 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie | 18 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Quentin Grimes | 12 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Edwards * | 37 | 12-20 | 7-13 | 6-12 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 37 | - | - | |
| Julius Randle * | 35 | 7-13 | 3-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Jaden McDaniels * | 34 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gobert * | 31 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Mike Conley * | 21 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Donte DiVincenzo | 26 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Naz Reid | 25 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 24 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Joe Ingles | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter