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2024-10-29

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 17.3% 82.7% -
Bradley-Terry 46.9% 53.1% -
Margin 42.0% 58.0% +1.8 (2.2 off)
Pythagorean 50.5% 49.5% -
Efficiency 56.6% 43.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 55.4% 44.6% -
Log Adjusted 55.4% 44.6% -
Points Off/Def 49.6% 50.4% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns +4 (109-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Austin Reaves * 37 8-15 5-9 2-3 8 3 2 0 23 - -
LeBron James * 35 3-14 2-5 3-6 5 8 1 0 11 - -
Anthony Davis * 35 12-24 0-2 5-6 15 3 1 3 29 - -
D'Angelo Russell * 33 5-13 2-9 2-2 1 8 0 0 14 - -
Rui Hachimura * 31 8-18 3-3 1-1 10 2 1 1 20 - -
Max Christie 23 2-4 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 2 5 - -
Gabe Vincent 19 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Jaxson Hayes 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 - -
Dalton Knecht 11 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 39 11-23 3-8 8-8 3 2 1 0 33 - -
Kevin Durant * 38 11-20 2-6 6-7 8 4 0 4 30 - -
Bradley Beal * 35 6-14 1-7 2-2 3 4 2 1 15 - -
Tyus Jones * 30 3-8 1-4 0-0 6 5 3 0 7 - -
Jusuf Nurkić * 15 1-6 0-2 0-1 4 0 0 2 2 - -
Mason Plumlee 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 2 0 1 0 - -
Royce O'Neale 24 4-9 2-4 2-2 9 4 0 2 12 - -
Ryan Dunn 15 3-5 1-3 0-0 1 0 1 1 7 - -
Grayson Allen 12 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -
Monté Morris 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter