Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.4% | 36.6% | -3.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 71.2% | 28.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -5 (101-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred VanVleet * | 40 | 4-14 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 37 | 11-22 | 7-13 | 7-7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 36 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 36 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 28 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 26 | 5-14 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Tari Eason | 21 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Amen Thompson | 18 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams | 13 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Cam Whitmore | 12 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Reed Sheppard | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Wembanyama * | 35 | 6-14 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan * | 33 | 9-19 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie * | 28 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 28 | 5-10 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 28 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 25 | 3-11 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Stephon Castle | 17 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham | 16 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 12 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins | 12 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - |
* = starter