Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.4% | 32.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 56.7% | 43.3% | -1.5 | ✗ (9.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +8 (106-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tobias Harris * | 36 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - | |
| Cade Cunningham * | 34 | 9-18 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 23 | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 33 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 7-7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 11 | - | |
| Jaden Ivey * | 32 | 6-16 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 9 | - | |
| Jalen Duren * | 28 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 20 | - | |
| Simone Fontecchio | 21 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - | |
| Isaiah Stewart | 19 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | - | |
| Malik Beasley | 18 | 1-12 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -7 | - | |
| Ronald Holland II | 14 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo * | 34 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 23 | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 33 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 9-11 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 23 | 27 | - | |
| Tyler Herro * | 33 | 7-20 | 3-12 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 10 | - | |
| Terry Rozier * | 33 | 7-16 | 5-12 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 13 | - | |
| Nikola Jović * | 13 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - | |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 32 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith | 20 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - | |
| Duncan Robinson | 16 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -1 | - | |
| Thomas Bryant | 13 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - | |
| Alec Burks | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter