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2024-10-28

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 18.2% 81.8% -
Bradley-Terry 26.7% 73.3% -
Margin 14.4% 85.6% +9.8 (1.2 off)
Pythagorean 39.8% 60.2% -
Efficiency 20.2% 79.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 25.0% 75.0% -
Log Adjusted 25.0% 75.0% -
Points Off/Def 29.0% 71.0% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +11 (119-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 39 14-26 0-2 2-6 10 6 0 0 30 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 37 3-8 2-6 2-2 3 1 2 0 10 - -
Damian Lillard * 35 7-15 2-8 17-18 7 7 2 1 33 - -
Brook Lopez * 32 5-14 0-4 3-3 6 0 2 4 13 - -
Taurean Prince * 31 1-4 1-3 0-0 4 1 1 0 3 - -
Bobby Portis 19 2-6 0-1 0-0 6 0 0 1 4 - -
Pat Connaughton 15 1-1 1-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 5 - -
Delon Wright 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Andre Jackson Jr. 8 2-3 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 4 - -
Tyler Smith 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
MarJon Beauchamp 2 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Ryan Rollins 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
AJ Green 2 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylen Brown * 38 10-19 0-4 10-14 6 4 0 0 30 - -
Jayson Tatum * 36 6-16 1-8 2-2 8 4 2 1 15 - -
Derrick White * 33 5-13 3-10 0-0 3 8 1 1 13 - -
Jrue Holiday * 32 7-12 4-7 3-3 4 3 0 0 21 - -
Al Horford * 27 4-5 2-2 0-0 5 1 0 2 10 - -
Payton Pritchard 27 10-14 8-12 0-0 5 3 2 0 28 - -
Xavier Tillman 14 0-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -
Jordan Walsh 12 1-3 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -
Luke Kornet 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 - -
Drew Peterson 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Jaden Springer 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Neemias Queta 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Baylor Scheierman 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter