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2024-10-28

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 19.4% 80.6% -
Bradley-Terry 22.1% 77.9% -
Margin 11.3% 88.7% +11.3 (13.3 off)
Pythagorean 29.6% 70.4% -
Efficiency 14.6% 85.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 17.3% 82.7% -
Log Adjusted 17.3% 82.7% -
Points Off/Def 23.0% 77.0% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks -2 (119-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Kuzma * 40 8-20 5-9 4-6 11 7 0 0 25 - -
Bilal Coulibaly * 36 5-12 1-5 6-7 2 3 2 0 17 - -
Jordan Poole * 32 9-17 6-8 2-2 1 5 2 0 26 - -
Alexandre Sarr * 27 3-11 1-5 0-0 9 1 1 2 7 - -
Jonas Valančiūnas * 22 3-7 0-1 1-1 9 4 0 0 7 - -
Corey Kispert 34 7-15 4-9 3-4 4 1 1 0 21 - -
Carlton Carrington 21 4-5 3-4 2-2 3 2 1 0 13 - -
Kyshawn George 21 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 1 3 - -
Marvin Bagley III 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Johnson * 38 11-17 1-3 6-7 12 7 1 1 29 - -
Dyson Daniels * 36 4-9 2-5 1-2 3 1 3 0 11 - -
Trae Young * 35 2-15 2-10 8-9 8 13 1 1 14 - -
Zaccharie Risacher * 25 1-8 1-4 1-3 3 1 2 2 4 - -
Clint Capela * 24 6-6 0-0 4-6 4 2 1 1 16 - -
Garrison Mathews 24 4-10 4-9 2-3 0 2 0 0 14 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 23 6-9 3-5 0-0 3 4 2 1 15 - -
David Roddy 19 3-4 1-2 2-2 6 2 1 1 9 - -
Vít Krejčí 9 2-3 1-2 2-4 0 0 1 0 7 - -
Keaton Wallace 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter