Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.8% | 61.2% | +2.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Orlando Magic +4 (119-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 35 | 6-15 | 4-9 | 3-4 | 9 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 33 | 10-18 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 33 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 30 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 25 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Jackson | 22 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - | - | |
| Ben Sheppard | 22 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Obi Toppin | 14 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin | 13 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jarace Walker | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paolo Banchero * | 39 | 16-26 | 3-9 | 15-22 | 13 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 50 | - | - | |
| Jalen Suggs * | 34 | 8-17 | 6-13 | 3-4 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Wendell Carter Jr. * | 31 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 30 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Franz Wagner * | 10 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Anthony Black | 30 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Gary Harris | 26 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Moritz Wagner | 16 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Cole Anthony | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jett Howard | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter