Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | β |
| Margin | 6.0% | 94.0% | +15.1 | β (8.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 9.6% | 90.4% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.2% | 89.8% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 10.2% | 89.8% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | β |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +24 (128-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trae Young * | 37 | 7-14 | 2-7 | 8-8 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Dyson Daniels * | 34 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jalen Johnson * | 29 | 3-13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Zaccharie Risacher * | 26 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 21 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 23 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 7-9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 21 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| VΓt KrejΔΓ | 20 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| David Roddy | 19 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Keaton Wallace | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Mouhamed Gueye | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 36 | 11-24 | 3-8 | 10-11 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 35 | - | - | |
| Chet Holmgren * | 33 | 8-12 | 3-5 | 6-8 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 25 | - | - | |
| Jalen Williams * | 32 | 8-17 | 0-3 | 4-8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 28 | 5-7 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins * | 18 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Cason Wallace | 23 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Alex Caruso | 21 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 15 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Ajay Mitchell | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Ousmane Dieng | 8 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Alex Ducas | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Dillon Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Adam Flagler | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Alex Reese | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter