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2024-10-27

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 14.5% 85.5% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 22.6% 77.4% - βœ“
Margin 19.2% 80.8% +7.9 βœ“ (14.1 off)
Pythagorean 35.5% 64.5% - βœ“
Efficiency 23.2% 76.8% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 26.0% 74.0% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 25.9% 74.1% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 29.8% 70.2% - βœ“

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +22 (125-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
CJ McCollum * 35 10-21 3-10 4-6 4 3 4 0 27 - -
Herbert Jones * 31 5-7 1-3 1-2 2 1 2 0 12 - -
Brandon Ingram * 31 7-17 0-3 0-0 8 6 0 0 14 - -
Zion Williamson * 28 3-12 0-0 8-10 3 4 0 1 14 - -
Daniel Theis * 16 1-2 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 2 2 - -
Jordan Hawkins 34 6-13 2-4 3-3 7 3 0 0 17 - -
Yves Missi 20 2-4 0-0 1-1 3 2 2 2 5 - -
Javonte Green 15 2-3 1-2 2-2 3 0 0 2 7 - -
Jose Alvarado 15 1-5 1-4 0-0 1 4 1 1 3 - -
Antonio Reeves 3 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Karlo Matković 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Toumani Camara * 33 5-8 2-3 0-1 3 4 2 0 12 - -
Anfernee Simons * 32 8-17 5-10 6-6 2 6 2 0 27 - -
Deandre Ayton * 30 7-9 1-1 2-2 12 0 0 1 17 - -
Deni Avdija * 29 4-12 1-5 2-2 6 3 1 0 11 - -
Jerami Grant * 28 9-17 2-7 8-12 5 2 2 4 28 - -
Scoot Henderson 30 2-12 1-4 4-4 5 7 0 0 9 - -
Kris Murray 15 2-3 1-2 0-2 1 1 0 0 5 - -
Jabari Walker 14 2-7 1-2 2-2 5 0 0 1 7 - -
Donovan Clingan 13 4-6 0-0 1-1 9 0 0 2 9 - -
Rayan Rupert 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 0 - -
Duop Reath 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Dalano Banton 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter