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2024-10-27

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 36.4% 63.6% -
Bradley-Terry 30.5% 69.5% -
Margin 31.4% 68.6% +4.3 (0.3 off)
Pythagorean 47.2% 52.8% -
Efficiency 46.3% 53.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 46.2% 53.8% -
Log Adjusted 46.3% 53.7% -
Points Off/Def 42.4% 57.6% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +4 (131-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
De'Aaron Fox * 41 9-20 3-10 7-8 5 10 2 0 28 - -
Keegan Murray * 39 5-11 2-7 2-2 4 1 2 2 14 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 37 9-12 2-3 3-4 0 3 3 0 23 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 36 10-14 1-3 8-9 12 10 1 1 29 - -
Kevin Huerter * 26 5-9 4-7 0-0 2 1 2 0 14 - -
Malik Monk 27 6-14 2-7 0-0 3 5 1 0 14 - -
Trey Lyles 18 1-6 1-6 2-2 4 1 1 1 5 - -
Alex Len 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 - -
Jordan McLaughlin 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rui Hachimura * 37 5-13 2-2 6-6 9 3 0 0 18 - -
Anthony Davis * 37 10-15 1-2 10-13 9 2 3 2 31 - -
LeBron James * 33 12-22 4-9 4-4 14 10 0 1 32 - -
Austin Reaves * 33 7-12 2-4 0-0 7 6 0 0 16 - -
D'Angelo Russell * 32 6-11 3-6 1-1 4 5 2 0 16 - -
Dalton Knecht 20 4-7 2-5 0-0 0 1 0 0 10 - -
Max Christie 17 1-4 0-2 0-0 0 4 2 0 2 - -
Jaxson Hayes 14 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 4 - -
Gabe Vincent 12 1-6 0-4 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 - -

* = starter