Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.9% | 60.1% | +2.3 | ✓ (9.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +12 (114-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Dončić * | 39 | 12-25 | 5-13 | 11-12 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 40 | - | - | |
| Kyrie Irving * | 38 | 9-22 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 35 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 33 | 7-16 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford * | 18 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Dereck Lively II | 21 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall | 15 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 13 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Quentin Grimes | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jazian Gortman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 39 | 10-21 | 4-8 | 7-9 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 31 | - | - | |
| Devin Booker * | 37 | 4-12 | 2-8 | 11-12 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jusuf Nurkić * | 30 | 7-12 | 0-2 | 4-8 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones * | 30 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Ryan Dunn * | 21 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Royce O'Neale | 26 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Damion Lee | 17 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Monté Morris | 16 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Mason Plumlee | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Oso Ighodaro | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Collin Gillespie | 3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter