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2024-10-27

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 62.5% 37.5% -
Bradley-Terry 44.1% 55.9% -
Margin 34.9% 65.1% +3.4 (9.6 off)
Pythagorean 42.8% 57.2% -
Efficiency 33.6% 66.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 33.0% 67.0% -
Log Adjusted 32.9% 67.1% -
Points Off/Def 33.9% 66.1% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +13 (124-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paolo Banchero * 36 4-12 1-4 7-13 7 3 1 0 16 - -
Franz Wagner * 34 7-16 4-10 5-6 7 3 2 0 23 - -
Jalen Suggs * 30 6-17 5-13 4-4 7 3 4 1 21 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 30 1-6 0-3 1-2 10 2 0 1 3 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 28 1-6 0-4 1-1 2 1 2 1 3 - -
Anthony Black 20 4-8 0-1 2-2 1 3 0 1 10 - -
Moritz Wagner 12 4-8 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 1 9 - -
Jett Howard 11 4-6 3-5 0-0 2 0 0 0 11 - -
Cole Anthony 7 2-3 0-1 0-0 0 2 1 0 4 - -
Goga Bitadze 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 2 - -
Gary Harris 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Caleb Houstan 4 2-3 2-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 6 - -
Mac McClung 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 - -
Cory Joseph 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 - -
Trevelin Queen 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Desmond Bane * 28 5-10 2-6 1-1 7 2 2 0 13 - -
Ja Morant * 24 4-12 0-6 8-8 2 10 0 1 16 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 22 4-10 0-2 5-9 4 1 1 0 13 - -
Marcus Smart * 21 4-8 1-3 0-0 0 3 2 1 9 - -
Zach Edey * 13 3-4 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 7 - -
Santi Aldama 27 9-12 4-6 0-0 7 5 0 1 22 - -
Jake LaRavia 23 1-1 0-0 1-2 7 2 1 0 3 - -
Scotty Pippen Jr. 22 5-7 1-1 0-0 5 12 2 1 11 - -
Jay Huff 19 7-9 3-5 1-1 2 0 0 1 18 - -
Jaylen Wells 17 2-6 1-1 2-2 2 2 0 0 7 - -
Brandon Clarke 17 2-5 0-1 1-1 5 1 2 0 5 - -
Yuki Kawamura 2 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter