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2024-10-27

Model Predictions

Model Oklahoma City Thunder Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 64.1% 35.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 75.2% 24.8% - ✓
Margin 89.4% 10.6% -11.7 ✓ (7.3 off)
Pythagorean 59.2% 40.8% - ✓
Efficiency 84.5% 15.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 82.9% 17.1% - ✓
Log Adjusted 82.9% 17.1% - ✓
Points Off/Def 72.3% 27.7% - ✓

Actual: Chicago Bulls -19 (95-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Williams * 32 10-22 1-4 3-3 9 8 0 0 24 - -
Cason Wallace * 29 4-11 0-4 1-1 6 2 3 0 9 - -
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * 29 9-21 2-9 3-3 8 2 4 0 23 - -
Chet Holmgren * 28 8-18 0-5 5-8 16 0 1 2 21 - -
Luguentz Dort * 24 2-5 1-3 2-2 2 1 0 0 7 - -
Alex Caruso 21 1-5 1-3 0-0 2 2 2 2 3 - -
Ousmane Dieng 20 2-7 0-4 2-3 6 1 0 1 6 - -
Aaron Wiggins 15 4-7 0-2 0-0 3 1 1 0 8 - -
Ajay Mitchell 15 2-5 0-0 0-0 1 3 2 0 4 - -
Isaiah Joe 11 2-4 2-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 6 - -
Adam Flagler 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 3 - -
Dillon Jones 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -
Alex Ducas 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 34 6-13 4-9 6-7 9 3 2 1 22 - -
Nikola Vučević * 32 7-12 2-2 2-2 13 2 0 1 18 - -
Coby White * 29 3-12 0-9 3-6 4 3 1 0 9 - -
Patrick Williams * 26 1-8 1-4 0-0 8 2 1 0 3 - -
Josh Giddey * 26 6-14 2-6 0-0 7 4 0 0 14 - -
Ayo Dosunmu 24 1-11 1-9 0-0 5 6 0 0 3 - -
Lonzo Ball 15 1-6 1-5 0-0 5 1 0 0 3 - -
Julian Phillips 14 3-6 2-5 1-1 1 0 1 0 9 - -
Jalen Smith 11 1-4 1-2 1-2 6 0 0 0 4 - -
Matas Buzelis 7 1-3 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Jevon Carter 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 4 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Dalen Terry 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Chris Duarte 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 - -

* = starter