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2024-10-26

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 76.5% 23.5% -
Bradley-Terry 82.3% 17.7% -
Margin 94.4% 5.6% -15.5 (3.5 off)
Pythagorean 73.3% 26.7% -
Efficiency 92.7% 7.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 91.1% 8.9% -
Log Adjusted 91.1% 8.9% -
Points Off/Def 83.5% 16.5% -

Actual: Washington Wizards -19 (116-135). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Evan Mobley * 32 4-13 0-2 5-7 13 4 0 2 13 - -
Donovan Mitchell * 29 11-18 6-11 2-3 4 5 4 0 30 - -
Jarrett Allen * 25 10-10 0-0 3-4 5 1 1 2 23 - -
Darius Garland * 23 9-11 4-5 1-1 2 5 2 0 23 - -
Dean Wade * 18 1-4 0-3 0-0 5 1 1 0 2 - -
Georges Niang 21 1-7 1-6 0-0 6 1 1 0 3 - -
Sam Merrill 19 3-8 3-7 2-2 2 1 1 0 11 - -
Caris LeVert 19 3-4 2-2 2-2 0 4 0 2 10 - -
Isaac Okoro 18 0-4 0-1 3-5 5 1 2 2 3 - -
Ty Jerome 15 4-6 1-1 5-6 2 3 1 0 14 - -
Jaylon Tyson 7 1-3 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Tristan Thompson 5 0-0 0-0 0-4 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Craig Porter Jr. 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 2 0 - -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bilal Coulibaly * 35 9-16 4-9 1-1 6 1 0 0 23 - -
Carlton Carrington * 25 2-8 2-4 4-4 2 4 0 0 10 - -
Kyle Kuzma * 24 3-16 0-4 8-10 8 3 0 0 14 - -
Alexandre Sarr * 24 4-10 2-6 2-2 6 1 1 2 12 - -
Jordan Poole * 23 4-9 4-7 2-2 1 6 3 0 14 - -
Corey Kispert 26 4-9 2-6 0-0 1 2 0 0 10 - -
Kyshawn George 26 0-7 0-4 2-4 4 4 0 4 2 - -
Jonas Valančiūnas 21 4-7 0-0 2-2 8 0 1 0 10 - -
Jared Butler 11 3-4 1-1 1-2 1 3 1 1 8 - -
Marvin Bagley III 9 2-5 0-2 5-5 6 0 0 1 9 - -
Johnny Davis 6 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Patrick Baldwin Jr. 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 - -

* = starter