Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 61.5% | 38.5% | -2.6 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 72.4% | 27.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -6 (118-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick White * | 39 | 6-14 | 0-6 | 5-5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jayson Tatum * | 38 | 12-26 | 6-13 | 7-9 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 37 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Brown * | 38 | 6-24 | 3-9 | 9-10 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Jrue Holiday * | 35 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Al Horford * | 31 | 6-10 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Payton Pritchard | 19 | 5-8 | 5-7 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Luke Kornet | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Xavier Tillman | 18 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cunningham * | 40 | 9-22 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jaden Ivey * | 38 | 10-18 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 36 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Tobias Harris * | 31 | 2-11 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jalen Duren * | 28 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley | 20 | 5-10 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Simone Fontecchio | 18 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Stewart | 18 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Ronald Holland II | 6 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter