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2024-10-26

Model Predictions

Model LA Clippers Denver Nuggets Spread Result
Elo 37.9% 62.1% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 34.3% 65.7% - βœ—
Margin 36.9% 63.1% +2.9 βœ— (7.9 off)
Pythagorean 49.6% 50.4% - βœ—
Efficiency 57.4% 42.6% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 52.0% 48.0% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 52.1% 47.9% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 45.7% 54.3% - βœ—

Actual: Denver Nuggets -5 (104-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ivica Zubac * 39 11-17 0-0 2-3 15 4 0 1 24 - -
James Harden * 37 5-11 1-5 12-13 6 16 1 1 23 - -
Norman Powell * 33 14-21 7-11 2-3 3 0 1 0 37 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. * 26 4-8 1-4 0-0 1 1 1 1 9 - -
Terance Mann * 20 0-4 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 - -
Amir Coffey 23 0-5 0-3 0-0 2 3 1 0 0 - -
Nicolas Batum 21 0-0 0-0 1-2 4 3 0 1 1 - -
Kris Dunn 18 4-6 3-5 0-0 6 1 0 0 11 - -
Kevin Porter Jr. 14 2-10 0-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 4 - -
Kai Jones 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 - -

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Michael Porter Jr. * 37 4-13 0-6 1-1 9 3 2 0 9 - -
Nikola Jokić * 36 14-26 7-12 6-8 9 4 2 1 41 - -
Jamal Murray * 36 7-14 3-6 5-5 2 5 2 0 22 - -
Aaron Gordon * 35 3-10 1-4 3-4 5 2 1 0 10 - -
Christian Braun * 34 4-6 1-1 2-2 7 1 1 2 11 - -
Russell Westbrook 19 0-8 0-3 2-2 1 2 2 1 2 - -
Julian Strawther 16 3-5 2-2 0-0 2 3 2 0 8 - -
Peyton Watson 11 0-3 0-1 1-2 0 0 1 0 1 - -
Dario Šarić 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter