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2024-10-26

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 70.5% 29.5% -
Bradley-Terry 38.9% 61.1% -
Margin 41.7% 58.3% +1.8 (5.2 off)
Pythagorean 43.5% 56.5% -
Efficiency 37.4% 62.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 38.6% 61.4% -
Log Adjusted 38.6% 61.4% -
Points Off/Def 37.1% 62.9% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +7 (123-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Durant * 38 11-17 2-3 6-7 4 6 0 1 30 - -
Devin Booker * 35 9-21 4-10 1-2 3 4 1 1 23 - -
Bradley Beal * 35 6-14 3-6 0-0 1 9 2 1 15 - -
Tyus Jones * 32 5-8 2-4 2-2 2 4 1 0 14 - -
Jusuf Nurkić * 18 1-5 0-3 2-2 7 4 0 1 4 - -
Royce O'Neale 27 2-5 1-3 2-2 4 4 1 0 7 - -
Mason Plumlee 18 3-4 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 0 6 - -
Monté Morris 13 2-3 2-3 2-2 2 3 2 0 8 - -
Ryan Dunn 13 3-5 3-5 0-0 3 1 0 0 9 - -
Oso Ighodaro 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rui Hachimura * 39 5-12 2-4 2-4 7 2 0 0 14 - -
Anthony Davis * 37 11-18 0-0 13-17 8 4 1 2 35 - -
Austin Reaves * 36 8-12 5-7 5-6 4 8 3 1 26 - -
LeBron James * 34 7-13 2-5 5-8 4 8 0 0 21 - -
D'Angelo Russell * 29 1-6 1-3 2-2 2 5 1 1 5 - -
Gabe Vincent 20 2-5 1-3 0-0 2 0 3 0 5 - -
Jaxson Hayes 17 3-3 0-0 0-0 6 4 1 1 6 - -
Dalton Knecht 13 2-5 2-4 2-2 1 2 1 0 8 - -
Max Christie 11 1-1 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter