Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.5% | 71.5% | +5.1 | ✓ (14.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +20 (128-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Bane * | 29 | 8-16 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17 | - | - | |
| Ja Morant * | 23 | 8-17 | 2-4 | 6-9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Santi Aldama * | 22 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | - | |
| Zach Edey * | 22 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Marcus Smart * | 20 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Scotty Pippen Jr. | 24 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jake LaRavia | 23 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-5 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| John Konchar | 22 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Wells | 21 | 3-14 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jay Huff | 15 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Brandon Clarke | 11 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Yuki Kawamura | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 35 | 5-13 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 31 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 31 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 31 | 8-21 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Fred VanVleet * | 30 | 5-9 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Amen Thompson | 24 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Tari Eason | 16 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Cam Whitmore | 13 | 5-12 | 0-4 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Reed Sheppard | 12 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jock Landale | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Nate Williams | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter