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2024-10-25

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 72.5% 27.5% -
Bradley-Terry 62.3% 37.7% -
Margin 75.1% 24.9% -6.1 (4.1 off)
Pythagorean 52.3% 47.7% -
Efficiency 64.7% 35.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 64.6% 35.4% -
Log Adjusted 64.6% 35.4% -
Points Off/Def 55.6% 44.4% -

Actual: Sacramento Kings -2 (115-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Edwards * 39 10-24 5-15 7-7 7 4 1 0 32 - -
Julius Randle * 34 13-17 5-6 2-3 5 4 0 0 33 - -
Rudy Gobert * 34 1-2 0-0 1-2 11 1 2 0 3 - -
Jaden McDaniels * 27 2-9 0-4 2-2 2 3 0 1 6 - -
Mike Conley * 27 2-9 2-7 0-0 2 4 0 1 6 - -
Donte DiVincenzo 26 4-10 1-6 0-0 1 2 0 0 9 - -
Naz Reid 26 6-10 4-7 3-3 13 3 0 0 19 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 18 3-5 3-5 0-0 1 2 0 0 9 - -
Joe Ingles 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Keegan Murray * 43 8-17 5-10 2-2 11 2 0 0 23 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 42 7-18 0-2 12-14 8 2 1 0 26 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 38 8-13 3-4 5-8 8 1 2 1 24 - -
De'Aaron Fox * 37 6-14 1-4 2-2 2 11 1 0 15 - -
Kevin Huerter * 19 1-4 0-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 - -
Malik Monk 26 6-9 1-2 4-5 1 4 0 0 17 - -
Keon Ellis 11 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 2 0 2 - -
Trey Lyles 10 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 3 - -
Alex Len 5 1-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 1 3 - -
Doug McDermott 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter