Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 75.2% | 24.8% | -6.1 | ✓ (8.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 77.7% | 22.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.4% | 26.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.4% | 26.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -15 (87-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 36 | 11-24 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 28 | - | - | |
| Chet Holmgren * | 35 | 11-18 | 0-5 | 3-5 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 25 | - | - | |
| Jalen Williams * | 33 | 5-16 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 28 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe * | 20 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Cason Wallace | 23 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Alex Caruso | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 19 | 7-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| Ousmane Dieng | 13 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Ajay Mitchell | 6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Adam Flagler | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Alex Ducas | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Dillon Jones | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 38 | 4-13 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokić * | 35 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 12 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 32 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 32 | 5-17 | 3-10 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun * | 29 | 8-15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 16 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook | 21 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 17 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 14 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | - | |
| Dario Šarić | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Hunter Tyson | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Trey Alexander | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jalen Pickett | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Čančar | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter