Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | β |
| Margin | 47.8% | 52.2% | +0.5 | β (10.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | β |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +11 (120-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Barnes * | 29 | 7-10 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 28 | 5-18 | 1-8 | 6-6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 28 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan * | 27 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie * | 27 | 7-12 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 18 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 24 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Stephon Castle | 18 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins | 13 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham | 5 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Charles Bassey | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka DonΔiΔ * | 36 | 9-25 | 4-11 | 6-8 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | - | - | |
| Kyrie Irving * | 27 | 6-17 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 26 | 7-13 | 6-10 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 26 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford * | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Dereck Lively II | 27 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall | 21 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 19 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 15 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Quentin Grimes | 14 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter