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2024-10-24

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 83.4% 16.6% -
Bradley-Terry 84.1% 15.9% -
Margin 95.8% 4.2% -17.3 (2.7 off)
Pythagorean 73.5% 26.5% -
Efficiency 93.0% 7.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 91.1% 8.9% -
Log Adjusted 91.1% 8.9% -
Points Off/Def 83.2% 16.8% -

Actual: Washington Wizards -20 (102-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylen Brown * 30 10-20 3-6 4-5 8 3 4 0 27 - -
Derrick White * 29 6-11 4-7 3-4 4 4 1 0 19 - -
Jayson Tatum * 28 9-20 3-11 4-7 11 6 1 0 25 - -
Jrue Holiday * 22 1-4 0-1 5-5 2 1 0 0 7 - -
Al Horford * 20 0-2 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 - -
Payton Pritchard 27 5-11 5-10 0-0 1 2 0 0 15 - -
Luke Kornet 16 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 4 - -
Xavier Tillman 15 3-4 2-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 8 - -
Neemias Queta 13 5-7 0-1 2-2 7 0 0 0 12 - -
Jordan Walsh 10 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 - -
JD Davison 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Baylor Scheierman 8 1-3 0-2 2-2 1 0 0 0 4 - -
Jaden Springer 5 0-1 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 0 1 - -
Drew Peterson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 2 0 - -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordan Poole * 32 9-17 6-11 2-2 1 4 4 1 26 - -
Bilal Coulibaly * 29 1-2 0-0 6-8 6 6 1 0 8 - -
Kyle Kuzma * 27 6-16 0-5 0-0 2 1 1 1 12 - -
Carlton Carrington * 25 1-6 0-2 1-2 3 2 0 2 3 - -
Alexandre Sarr * 21 1-7 0-5 0-0 5 1 0 2 2 - -
Corey Kispert 24 3-6 0-3 0-0 5 3 0 0 6 - -
Kyshawn George 20 2-6 0-4 0-0 3 2 1 0 4 - -
Jonas Valančiūnas 20 8-13 0-0 2-2 5 2 0 0 18 - -
Marvin Bagley III 9 4-7 0-1 0-2 6 1 0 0 8 - -
Jared Butler 8 2-6 0-1 2-2 0 2 1 0 6 - -
Patrick Baldwin Jr. 8 3-6 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 7 - -
Johnny Davis 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Justin Champagnie 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -
Anthony Gill 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 - -

* = starter