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2024-10-24

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 40.4% 59.6% -
Bradley-Terry 54.0% 46.0% -
Margin 65.3% 34.7% -3.5 (31.5 off)
Pythagorean 53.9% 46.1% -
Efficiency 66.8% 33.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 66.2% 33.8% -
Log Adjusted 66.3% 33.7% -
Points Off/Def 57.6% 42.4% -

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -35 (104-139). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 25 4-10 3-7 6-6 9 10 2 0 17 28 -
Trayce Jackson-Davis * 24 5-5 0-0 4-5 4 2 1 0 14 16 -
Andrew Wiggins * 23 8-15 4-7 0-0 4 2 0 0 20 11 -
Draymond Green * 20 3-3 1-1 1-2 6 3 1 2 8 17 -
Jonathan Kuminga * 19 3-9 0-2 4-6 4 1 0 1 10 7 -
Brandin Podziemski 24 0-5 0-4 0-0 7 4 1 0 0 7 -
De'Anthony Melton 19 4-11 2-8 0-2 2 4 3 0 10 8 -
Buddy Hield 14 8-12 5-7 1-1 5 1 0 0 22 16 -
Kevon Looney 14 0-2 0-0 2-2 6 2 1 1 2 10 -
Kyle Anderson 14 1-2 0-1 0-0 5 3 2 1 2 11 -
Moses Moody 14 5-11 3-8 2-2 2 2 0 0 15 8 -
Gary Payton II 14 3-4 0-1 2-2 1 3 2 0 8 10 -
Gui Santos 5 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 3 4 -
Lindy Waters III 5 3-3 2-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 8 6 -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jerami Grant * 33 6-18 2-8 2-2 2 3 1 1 16 5 -
Anfernee Simons * 32 5-12 2-7 3-3 2 3 1 0 15 9 -
Deandre Ayton * 30 5-12 0-2 0-0 11 2 2 0 10 13 -
Toumani Camara * 29 3-8 2-4 3-4 6 4 2 0 11 15 -
Deni Avdija * 27 4-10 0-3 7-8 7 2 2 2 15 18 -
Scoot Henderson 27 7-18 0-5 8-9 4 4 0 0 22 12 -
Rayan Rupert 16 3-4 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 6 6 -
Donovan Clingan 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 2 4 -
Kris Murray 9 0-2 0-1 1-4 1 1 0 0 1 1 -
Dalano Banton 8 1-4 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 1 -
Jabari Walker 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -
Duop Reath 3 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 3 -

* = starter