Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.7% | 57.3% | +1.6 | ✗ (20.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -19 (97-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paolo Banchero * | 31 | 12-24 | 4-8 | 5-6 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 33 | - | - | |
| Wendell Carter Jr. * | 26 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 25 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - | - | |
| Franz Wagner * | 23 | 10-16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Jalen Suggs * | 12 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Anthony Black | 27 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Gary Harris | 21 | 6-9 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | - | - | |
| Cole Anthony | 17 | 0-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Moritz Wagner | 16 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Isaac | 11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - | - | |
| Caleb Houstan | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Cory Joseph | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jett Howard | 5 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tristan da Silva | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Goga Bitadze | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terry Rozier * | 32 | 5-15 | 2-7 | 7-7 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 19 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro * | 28 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 25 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 25 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 7-10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jović * | 24 | 7-15 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith | 30 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 19 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 3-5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson | 19 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Thomas Bryant | 16 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Kel'el Ware | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Pelle Larsson | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Dru Smith | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter