Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 26.6% | 73.4% | +5.6 | ✗ (11.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -6 (109-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Myles Turner * | 36 | 7-14 | 3-8 | 3-3 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 20 | - | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 34 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 34 | 6-18 | 1-9 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 31 | 8-15 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 18 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin | 27 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 7-9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Obi Toppin | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 15 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jarace Walker | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Enrique Freeman | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Ben Sheppard | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| James Wiseman | 4 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cunningham * | 36 | 10-23 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Tobias Harris * | 35 | 6-13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jalen Duren * | 30 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jaden Ivey * | 30 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 7-9 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 28 | 4-9 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley | 27 | 5-13 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Stewart | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Ronald Holland II | 15 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Simone Fontecchio | 14 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Marcus Sasser | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter