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2024-10-23

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 68.1% 31.9% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 49.2% 50.8% - ✓
Margin 65.8% 34.2% -3.6 ✗ (10.6 off)
Pythagorean 52.5% 47.5% - ✗
Efficiency 64.1% 35.9% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 63.9% 36.1% - ✗
Log Adjusted 64.0% 36.0% - ✗
Points Off/Def 54.8% 45.2% - ✗

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +7 (110-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Edwards * 41 10-25 5-13 2-3 6 3 0 0 27 - -
Rudy Gobert * 35 5-8 0-0 3-4 14 2 0 1 13 - -
Julius Randle * 34 5-10 1-3 5-7 9 4 0 0 16 - -
Mike Conley * 20 1-7 0-5 3-3 4 2 1 0 5 - -
Jaden McDaniels * 16 3-8 0-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 6 - -
Donte DiVincenzo 31 3-11 2-8 2-4 3 3 2 0 10 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 28 5-7 3-4 1-2 5 0 0 0 14 - -
Naz Reid 26 3-8 2-4 4-4 4 1 0 0 12 - -
Joe Ingles 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Davis * 37 11-23 1-3 13-15 16 4 1 3 36 - -
Austin Reaves * 36 6-14 0-5 0-1 9 4 1 1 12 - -
Rui Hachimura * 35 7-14 1-4 3-4 5 1 2 1 18 - -
LeBron James * 34 7-16 1-4 1-1 5 4 0 2 16 - -
D'Angelo Russell * 34 4-12 1-7 0-0 1 5 2 0 9 - -
Gabe Vincent 17 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 - -
Jaxson Hayes 15 4-5 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 1 10 - -
Dalton Knecht 15 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 2 1 0 5 - -
Max Christie 11 0-3 0-3 2-2 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Bronny James 2 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter