Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 76.1% | 23.9% | -6.4 | ✗ (15.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings +9 (120-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred VanVleet * | 37 | 6-17 | 1-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 36 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 33 | 9-14 | 5-8 | 5-5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 30 | 10-20 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 23 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Tari Eason | 25 | 5-15 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Amen Thompson | 23 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Reed Sheppard | 10 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 5 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keegan Murray * | 39 | 5-11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | - | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 36 | 9-19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Malik Monk * | 34 | 5-10 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 33 | 6-15 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 31 | 13-19 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Kevin Huerter | 25 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Isaac Jones | 18 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jae Crowder | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Colby Jones | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Alex Len | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter