Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.4% | 59.6% | +2.1 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +4 (119-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 34 | 8-23 | 4-15 | 4-4 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 19 | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 30 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 16 | - | |
| Jonathan Kuminga * | 28 | 9-18 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 10 | - | |
| Kevon Looney * | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 21 | - | |
| Brandin Podziemski * | 24 | 6-11 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - | |
| Buddy Hield | 21 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - | |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - | |
| Moses Moody | 20 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - | |
| Kyle Anderson | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 | - | |
| Gary Payton II | 14 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokić * | 40 | 14-24 | 3-4 | 7-9 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 38 | 36 | - | |
| Christian Braun * | 35 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 34 | 4-12 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 14 | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 32 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 4-6 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 23 | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 31 | 8-14 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 18 | - | |
| Russell Westbrook | 22 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 19 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 17 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter