Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.8% | 54.2% | +0.9 | ✓ (10.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +11 (104-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephon Castle * | 34 | 5-14 | 1-6 | 5-6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 34 | 6-18 | 1-9 | 2-2 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 31 | 1-9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie * | 27 | 3-10 | 1-8 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 24 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell | 27 | 10-14 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 24 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan | 21 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 4-8 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins | 13 | 0-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker * | 38 | 10-21 | 4-10 | 5-5 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 29 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones * | 33 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Bradley Beal * | 30 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Oso Ighodaro * | 28 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Kevin Durant * | 16 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Royce O'Neale | 29 | 4-12 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen | 23 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Mason Plumlee | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - | - | |
| Ryan Dunn | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Monté Morris | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter