Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | β |
| Margin | 55.1% | 44.9% | -1.1 | β (6.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | β |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +5 (121-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Bane * | 31 | 8-14 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Ja Morant * | 31 | 11-22 | 3-6 | 6-7 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 29 | 5-14 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Brandon Clarke * | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Wells * | 21 | 4-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Santi Aldama | 28 | 7-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Marcus Smart | 25 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Scotty Pippen Jr. | 17 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jay Huff | 16 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jake LaRavia | 10 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Luke Kennard | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka DonΔiΔ * | 40 | 11-22 | 5-9 | 10-16 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 37 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 38 | 6-10 | 4-6 | 2-5 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 18 | - | - | |
| Kyrie Irving * | 35 | 3-14 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Dereck Lively II * | 32 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17 | - | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 20 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie | 24 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Quentin Grimes | 20 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford | 15 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter