Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.0% | 49.0% | -0.2 | ✗ (11.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 68.1% | 31.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +11 (122-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 39 | 10-16 | 4-9 | 6-7 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 38 | 5-9 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | - | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin * | 36 | 7-16 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 35 | 4-13 | 2-5 | 3-5 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 18 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jarace Walker | 25 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 23 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Obi Toppin | 14 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Moses Brown | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Enrique Freeman | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Barrett * | 36 | 9-16 | 2-6 | 9-12 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Scottie Barnes * | 36 | 13-20 | 3-7 | 6-8 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 35 | - | - | |
| Ochai Agbaji * | 35 | 5-7 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 35 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17 | - | - | |
| Ja'Kobe Walter * | 16 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 26 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Mogbo | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 14 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jamison Battle | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jamal Shead | 9 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
* = starter