Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.4% | 82.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 27.2% | 72.8% | +5.4 | ✗ (26.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -21 (107-128). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brook Lopez * | 32 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - | - | |
| Damian Lillard * | 31 | 9-17 | 5-11 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 27 | 10-11 | 0-0 | 8-12 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 28 | - | - | |
| Taurean Prince * | 23 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Andre Jackson Jr. * | 19 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Gary Trent Jr. | 26 | 6-12 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis | 26 | 5-12 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| AJ Green | 21 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tyler Smith | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Chris Livingston | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Ryan Rollins | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| AJ Johnson | 2 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cunningham * | 33 | 9-16 | 3-6 | 2-6 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Tobias Harris * | 32 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jaden Ivey * | 29 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 28 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jalen Duren * | 19 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Stewart | 20 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley | 17 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Ausar Thompson | 14 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Ronald Holland II | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Simone Fontecchio | 12 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Paul Reed | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Wendell Moore Jr. | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Marcus Sasser | 6 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter