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2024-11-30

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 81.3% 18.7% -
Bradley-Terry 49.7% 50.3% -
Margin 58.9% 41.1% -2.0 (22.0 off)
Pythagorean 46.5% 53.5% -
Efficiency 45.6% 54.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 43.9% 56.1% -
Log Adjusted 43.9% 56.1% -
Points Off/Def 40.4% 59.6% -

Actual: Indiana Pacers -24 (106-130). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cade Cunningham * 32 10-19 4-6 0-0 6 11 2 0 24 - -
Jaden Ivey * 31 8-13 3-8 4-4 5 6 1 0 23 - -
Tobias Harris * 29 5-8 2-5 4-4 5 3 1 1 16 - -
Tim Hardaway Jr. * 27 3-8 2-6 2-2 4 1 0 0 10 - -
Jalen Duren * 26 5-8 0-0 4-7 12 2 0 4 14 - -
Malik Beasley 28 10-14 5-9 0-1 1 1 2 0 25 - -
Isaiah Stewart 21 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 - -
Simone Fontecchio 17 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 5 - -
Ronald Holland II 12 3-4 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 0 6 - -
Ausar Thompson 11 1-5 1-3 2-2 1 4 1 0 5 - -
Marcus Sasser 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 - -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bennedict Mathurin * 35 6-11 3-5 1-2 0 1 0 0 16 - -
Pascal Siakam * 34 9-19 1-6 2-2 9 2 1 0 21 - -
Tyrese Haliburton * 29 8-13 3-8 0-0 1 5 0 0 19 - -
Myles Turner * 27 3-8 1-3 2-2 10 2 0 1 9 - -
Quenton Jackson * 15 3-6 2-3 2-2 2 2 0 1 10 - -
Jarace Walker 30 3-5 2-4 2-2 3 4 5 0 10 - -
Obi Toppin 25 1-5 0-2 3-3 3 2 0 0 5 - -
T.J. McConnell 23 6-11 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 0 12 - -
Johnny Furphy 5 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 2 2 - -
Moses Brown 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 - -
Enrique Freeman 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -
Tristen Newton 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter